jf-referee-strategy

Referee Strategy (jf-referee-strategy)

When to trigger

• Before submitting: anticipating the objections a JF referee will raise
• The portal asks for suggested / opposed reviewers
• A conflict of interest among editors, AEs, or referees needs flagging

How JF review works (plan around it)

JF, the AFA flagship, runs a demanding multi-round process: a handling editor (currently Antoinette Schoar (MIT), with co-editors and 50+ Associate Editors — verify the masthead) screens first, then assigns typically 2–3 referees. The reality is severe — ~33–45% desk-rejected, ~5% accepted (afajof.org editor reports, accessed 2026-05-30). Most papers die at desk review, so the first job is surviving the editor, not the referees.

JF-specific channels

• A cover letter is normally unnecessary at JF — use one only to flag a conflict of interest (referees/AEs/editors who should be excluded) or to request a code-sharing exemption. Do not pad it (see jf-submission).
• Suggested/opposed reviewers, if the portal asks, should be specific and justified.

Anticipating objections (pre-empt in the paper)

Likely referee objection	Where to neutralize it
"This is already in [paper]"	Contribution paragraph (jf-literature-positioning)
"Identification is not credible"	Design section + IA tests (jf-identification)
"Just data mining / multiple testing"	Disclosed search + adjusted thresholds (jf-robustness)
"Not general-interest enough"	Reframe for the broad AFA reader (jf-topic-selection)

Reading the AFA screening funnel

Two gates sit in series. The handling editor reads the abstract, introduction, and identification before spending referees' time; you only reach the referee panel once the editor judges the paper plausibly flagship-publishable. Because the editor screens for general interest and first-order importance, the highest-leverage pre-submission work is making the first three pages survive an editor who is not a specialist in your niche. Treat the editor as the audience for the introduction, the referee for the design and Internet Appendix.

Desk-reject patterns at a top-3 finance journal

Recurring shapes that draw a fast editorial "no" at JF (and JFE/RFS); pre-empt them before the portal, not in the rebuttal:

Desk-reject pattern	What the editor sees	Pre-submission fix
Narrow / single-subfield question	"Interesting to microstructure people only"	Reframe the first-order stake (jf-topic-selection)
Causal verb, correlational design	No named shock/instrument in the intro	Lead with the source of variation (jf-identification)
Anomaly with naive t > 1.96 only	Smells of the factor zoo	Multiple-testing-adjusted threshold (jf-robustness)
Statistically significant, economically tiny	A 2-bp effect dressed as a discovery	Report Sharpe gain / % of market cap up front
Wrong-journal fit (reads like a JFE paper)	Specialized, results-driven, no broad hook	Re-center on the general-interest reader

Confirm the current desk-reject rate language against the journal's editor reports rather than quoting a fixed number.

Worked vignette — pre-empting the panel on an anomaly paper

Illustrative figures. A new "supplier-concentration" return predictor shows a 55 bps/month long-short spread, raw t = 3.1. War-game the panel before submitting:

• AE / asset-pricing referee: does 55 bps survive Fama–French five-factor + momentum alphas, and is t = 3.1 above the factor-zoo bar (~3.0, illustratively)? Pre-empt with the post-adjustment alpha (say 38 bps, t = 2.7) in the body and the full factor grid in the IA.
• "Is it real" referee: microcap artifact? Pre-empt with a NYSE-breakpoint, value-weighted version (say 31 bps).
• General-interest editor: why would a corporate reader care? Tie the signal to a mechanism (supply-chain risk pricing) that reaches beyond the anomaly catalog.

The deliverable is a one-page objection map — each likely reviewer, their attack, the table or IA section answering it — written before submission.

Referee-pushback patterns and the JF-specific fix

Pushback you will hear	JF-specific fix
"Run it value-weighted with NYSE breakpoints"	Pre-build the VW result; IA holds EW and alternative breakpoints
"The effect is economically trivial"	Lead with Sharpe gain / bps, not the t-stat
"Your shock coincides with the 2008 crisis"	Excluded-period and placebo windows in the IA

Checklist

• Top 3 likely referee objections listed and pre-empted in the manuscript
• Desk-reject risk assessed (general interest, identification, fit)
• Opposed reviewers (genuine COI) noted only if the portal asks
• Cover letter used only for COI or code-exemption — otherwise omitted
• Suggested reviewers are specific and defensible

Anti-patterns

• Writing a long cover letter JF did not ask for
• Listing opposed reviewers without a real conflict (reads as gaming)
• Ignoring desk-reject risk and over-optimizing for referees
• Leaving the obvious "already known" objection unaddressed

Output format

【Top objections + where pre-empted】...
【Desk-reject risk】low / med / high — why
【COI to flag in cover letter?】yes / no
【Suggested/opposed reviewers (if asked)】...
【Next step】jf-submission → (after decision) jf-rebuttal