jimf-referee-strategy

Referee Strategy (jimf-referee-strategy)

When to trigger

• The paper is near submission and you want to see it through a JIMF referee's eyes first
• You suspect a predictable objection (endogeneity, "it's just the GFC," US-centrism) is unanswered
• You need to decide which checks to run now versus hold in reserve for a revision
• The contribution is solid but the framing invites a "wrong journal" or "incremental" rejection

How JIMF referees read a paper

A JIMF referee is usually an international-finance specialist who will probe three things in order: is the contribution genuinely international and non-incremental; is the identification credible against global confounders; and is the result robust to the field's standard fragility checks (episode, dollar, regime, measure). The most common reasons for rejection are not statistical errors but (1) thin international content, (2) a causal claim that is really a correlation with a global driver, and (3) results that do not survive dropping the obvious episode or the US. Anticipate these.

Predictable JIMF objection	Pre-empt it now by
"This is incremental / not enough new for an international audience"	Stake the contribution against the named frontier program (jimf-literature-positioning)
"This belongs at JIE / JME / JMCB / JFE"	Draw the sibling boundary explicitly in the intro and cover letter
"Your causal claim is the global financial cycle, not your variable"	Add time FE / push-pull interaction so within-time variation identifies (jimf-identification)
"Your surprise is contaminated by the information channel"	Purge / sign-correct the surprise and show the test
"It's just the 2008 crisis / the dollar"	Drop the episode; drop the US; use NEER (jimf-robustness)
"Policy is endogenous to the outcome"	Argue timing exogeneity; instrument; placebo countries
"Your inference ignores cross-country dependence"	Two-way clustering / Driscoll–Kraay / wild bootstrap
"EPFR isn't BoP flows" / measurement dispute	Declare and defend the measure; show the alternative (jimf-empirical-design)
"No policy takeaway"	Add a bounded, defensible implication for a central bank / IMF reader

Building the pre-emption plan

1. Triage by lethality. A "wrong journal" or "global-confounder" objection can sink the paper; a "typo in Table 3" cannot. Fix the lethal ones before submission, even at the cost of delay.
2. Decide visible vs. reserve. Put the answers to the top three objections in the main text (the editor reads it); hold lower-priority checks in the online appendix or in reserve for the revision so you have something to give.
3. Pre-write the hard paragraph. For the single most dangerous objection, draft the paragraph you would write in a response letter now — if you cannot write it convincingly, the paper is not ready.
4. Suggest reviewers who know the program (if the journal asks) and avoid conflicts; a referee from the right sub-literature is more likely to see the contribution.
5. Use the cover letter to frame the contribution and the journal fit so the editor does not desk-reject on a "scope" reflex.

Distinguishing this skill from jimf-rebuttal

Referee strategy is pre-submission: you are the adversary, simulating the report before it exists so you can fix the lethal objections while it is cheap. Rebuttal is post-decision: a real report has arrived and you respond. Use this skill to decide what to run and what to hold before you press submit; switch to jimf-rebuttal once a decision letter is in hand. The two share a threat vocabulary (global-confounder, drop-US, inference, scope) but differ in leverage: before submission you can re-architect; after, you are negotiating within the editor's framing.

Worked vignette (illustrative)

Before submitting a paper on capital-control effectiveness, the author audits it as a referee. The lethal objection: controls are imposed when flows surge, so the timing is endogenous, and any "effectiveness" is mean-reversion. The pre-emption: foreground an institutional feature that makes the timing plausibly exogenous (a control triggered by a calendar rule or an external mandate, not the flow level), add placebo countries that faced the same global surge without imposing controls, and put the pre-trend test in the main text. The author also pre-writes the response paragraph; finding it hard to write convincingly, they add a difference-in-differences against the placebo set before submission rather than after.

Reading the JIMF process to set expectations

JIMF is a high-volume Elsevier field journal: desk-rejection on scope/incrementality is real, and turnaround and acceptance rates vary (待核实 — do not quote a specific figure). Two practical implications for strategy: (1) the editor's first decision is often a scope/fit triage, so the cover letter and intro must make the international contribution unmissable; (2) reports tend to be empirical and specific (the "drop the US," "rule out the GFCy," "fix the clustering" family) rather than abstract, so pre-empting the concrete checks is more valuable than polishing framing alone.

Checklist

• The three most lethal objections identified and answered in the main text
• "Wrong journal" pre-empted by an explicit sibling boundary (JIE/JME/JMCB/JFE)
• The global-confounder objection answered with time FE / push-pull, not just controls
• The "drop the episode / drop the US" checks are in the paper before a referee asks
• Inference objection pre-empted (clustering/dependence handled)
• A bounded policy takeaway present for the policy-economist referee
• "Wrong journal" managed on title, first paragraph, and cover letter simultaneously
• Load-bearing checks are in the paper; only discretionary checks held in reserve
• A reserve of lower-priority checks held for the revision

Anti-patterns

• Submitting with the obvious "it's the GFC / it's the dollar" objection unaddressed and hoping the referee misses it
• Burying the answer to the most dangerous objection in a footnote or the appendix
• Treating a scope/"wrong journal" risk as unmanageable instead of framing the fit in the cover letter
• Front-loading every robustness check so there is nothing left to offer in a revision
• Suggesting reviewers with conflicts, or from the wrong sub-literature who will miss the contribution
• Assuming a clever identification excuses thin international content — JIMF's first filter is the international margin

The "wrong journal" risk is the one to manage hardest

Because JIMF sits among close siblings, a non-trivial share of rejections are scope decisions rather than quality decisions. Manage this on three surfaces simultaneously: the title (lead with the international object — exchange rate, capital flow, spillover, sovereign), the first paragraph (state the open-economy question, not the data), and the cover letter (one sentence on why this is international money and finance and not JIE/JME/JMCB/JFE). If a careful reader could still finish the abstract unsure whether the paper is international, the scope risk is unmanaged and a fix is cheaper now than a transfer later.

Choosing what to hold in reserve

A revision is a negotiation, and it helps to enter it with checks the referee will be glad to receive. Put the lethal answers (global-confounder, drop-US, drop-episode, inference) in the submitted paper, but keep a few credible-but-secondary checks — an alternative GFCy proxy, a sub-period split, an additional placebo set — ready to deploy in the first response. This signals responsiveness and gives the referee a visible win without re-architecting the paper. Do not, however, withhold a check the result actually needs to be believed: reserve is for the discretionary, not the load-bearing.

Output format

【Journal】Journal of International Money and Finance
【Skill】jimf-referee-strategy
【Top 3 lethal objections】<scope / global-confounder / robustness / inference / measurement>
【Answered in main text】each lethal objection addressed before review? [Y/N]
【Sibling-boundary pre-empt】JIE/JME/JMCB/JFE framed? [Y/N]
【Policy takeaway】bounded implication present? [Y/N]
【Reserve checks】held for revision: <list>
【Next skill】jimf-rebuttal (after a decision letter arrives)