From kostja94-marketing-skills-5
Guides product-market fit validation and measurement using Sean Ellis 40% test, vitamin vs painkiller framework, retention metrics, and organic growth signals before scaling.
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Guides product-market fit (PMF) validation and measurement. PMF occurs when a product precisely meets market needs, creating widespread demand. ~99% of startups fail primarily due to PMF issues (vitamin problems, premature scaling). Use this skill when validating before scaling, measuring PMF, or diagnosing traction problems.
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Guides product-market fit (PMF) validation and measurement. PMF occurs when a product precisely meets market needs, creating widespread demand. ~99% of startups fail primarily due to PMF issues (vitamin problems, premature scaling). Use this skill when validating before scaling, measuring PMF, or diagnosing traction problems.
When invoking: On first use, if helpful, open with 1–2 sentences on what this skill covers and why it matters, then provide the main output. On subsequent use or when the user asks to skip, go directly to the main output.
Product-market fit (Marc Andreessen): "Being in a good market with a product that can satisfy that market."
Signals: Customers buying rapidly; usage growing; word-of-mouth spreading organically; high retention, low churn.
Question: "How would you feel if you could no longer use [product]?"
| Response | Meaning |
|---|---|
| Very disappointed | Strong PMF signal |
| Somewhat disappointed | — |
| Not disappointed | — |
| N/A – I no longer use | — |
Threshold: 40%+ answering "very disappointed" = PMF achieved. Below 40% = iterate.
| Score | Action |
|---|---|
| Below 25% | Significant changes needed |
| 25–39% | Close to PMF; iterate and improve |
| 40%+ | PMF achieved |
Best practice: Survey 40–50 active users (used product 2+ times in last 14 days). Segment by user type—some segments may have PMF while others don't.
Limitation: Combine with retention curves, engagement, organic growth; avoid false positives in early stages.
| Type | Definition | Adoption |
|---|---|---|
| Painkiller | Solves urgent, acute problems; users actively seek solutions | Fast adoption; high retention; willing to pay |
| Vitamin | Nice-to-have; incremental benefit; users can live without | Slow adoption; expensive marketing to succeed |
~99% of failures: Solving vitamin problems instead of real pain. Validate: Would users be genuinely inconvenienced if your product vanished?
Validation: Talk to users; listen for frustration; run pre-sells; check frequency and time-sensitivity of the problem.
| Indicator | Strong PMF |
|---|---|
| Retention | High; low churn |
| CAC vs CLTV | CAC decreasing relative to CLTV |
| Activation | Strong conversion to paying customers |
| Growth | Organic; word-of-mouth |
| NPS | High; enthusiastic advocacy |
| Failure | Avoid |
|---|---|
| Vitamin problems | Solve urgent pain, not nice-to-have |
| Vanity feedback | Use retention data, not polite opinions |
| Premature scaling | Validate PMF before scaling acquisition |
| Misalignment | Customer-problem fit before product-build |
| Area | Notes |
|---|---|
| Product positioning | Target audience; core value; competitive differentiation |
| Market research | Competitor analysis; surveys; interviews to validate assumptions |
| SaaS form | Cloud delivery; subscription; ease of use; dependency on industry standardization |
| Enterprise / ACV | Customization; data security/private deployment; procurement cycles; buy vs SaaS trade-offs |
Use: When discussing PMF for SaaS or enterprise—factor in product research rigor and ACV-specific challenges. See gtm-strategy for enterprise GTM.
PMF is increasingly a continuous validation—markets evolve; re-measure as you expand. Target "PMF for a niche" first (40%+ in one segment) before broadening.