great-econometrics

Identification Strategy Analysis. Synthesizes research question and literature review to diagnose endogeneity threats, evaluate feasible identification strategies, select the optimal one, and produce an Identification Strategy Memo.

Phase 6 Code Generation & Execution. Reads identification-memo.md, data-report.md, and model-spec.md, asks user to select software (Python / R / Stata), dispatches to the appropriate estimation skill, generates a reproducible analysis script with main regression, diagnostics, and output export, then executes and verifies results.

Phase 4 Data Preparation Pipeline. Data fetch, data clean and exploratory analysis. Produce a data report in the end.

Phase 5 Econometric Model Construction. Reads identification-memo.md and data-report.md, writes formal model specification with LaTeX equations, discusses identification assumptions and SE strategy, calls the appropriate estimation skill, and produces model-spec.md.

Publication Polish. Runs after results-analysis (Phase 7). Audits all tables and figures produced in Phases 4–7, upgrades them to top-journal standards by calling the table and figure skills.

Phase 10 (optional) Beamer-Style PPTX Generation. Reads all upstream outputs and paper/sections/, maps research content to a presentation-type-specific slide outline, calls beamer-ppt skill to generate a Beamer-style .pptx file (navy-blue Metropolis theme, publication-quality), and produces slides/ directory.

Help user transform their idea into a clear research question through interactive dialogue.

Phase 8 Robustness, Heterogeneity & Mechanism Tests. Reads model-spec.md, diagnostic_report.md, and results-memo.md to build a personalised checklist, then runs method-specific robustness checks, heterogeneity analysis, and mechanism tests; generates code; and produces robustness-report.md.

Phase 9 Full Paper Writing. Reads all upstream outputs (model-spec.md, results-memo.md, robustness-report.md, literature-review-report.md) and drafts any section or the complete paper to Top-5 economics journal standards following a narrative-driven structure; assembles LaTeX, compiles to PDF, and exports DOCX via pandoc, producing a final paper/ directory.

Phase 8 parallel checker. Launch three independent subagents simultaneously to run robustness checks, heterogeneity analysis, and mechanism tests.

Econometrics skill for time series analysis. Activates when the user asks about: "time series", "stationarity", "unit root test", "ADF test", "KPSS test", "ARIMA", "ARMA", "autocorrelation", "ACF", "PACF", "VAR model", "VECM", "Granger causality", "cointegration", "impulse response function", "forecast", "seasonal decomposition", "ARCH", "GARCH", "时间序列", "平稳性检验", "单位根", "自回归", "格兰杰因果", "协整", "脉冲响应", "预测", "向量自回归"

Create Beamer-style academic PPTX presentations using python-pptx. Produces publication-quality .pptx files with navy-blue Metropolis theme (16:9, frame title bars, progress bar) for conference talks, job market presentations, and seminar slides. Called by /present command.

End-to-end data pipeline for empirical research: fetch economic data from APIs (FRED, World Bank, IMF, BLS, OECD, Yahoo Finance), clean and transform raw data, construct strategy-specific variables, and validate panel structure. Use when asked to fetch data, download data, clean data, merge datasets, prepare analysis-ready data.

Econometrics skill for Difference-in-Differences (DID) analysis. Activates when the user asks about: "difference in differences", "DID", "DiD", "diff-in-diff", "parallel trends", "treatment group", "control group", "pre-treatment", "post-treatment", "policy evaluation", "natural experiment", "staggered DID", "event study regression", "two-way fixed effects DID", "callaway santanna", "sun and abraham", "双重差分", "倍差法", "平行趋势", "处理组", "对照组", "政策评估", "事件研究", "交错DID", "渐进处理"

Called by /plot to generate and upgrade econometric figures to top-journal standards.

Econometrics skill for instrumental variables and treatment effect estimation. Activates when the user asks about: "instrumental variables", "IV estimation", "2SLS", "two-stage least squares", "endogeneity", "weak instruments", "first stage", "Sargan test", "overidentification", "propensity score matching", "PSM", "average treatment effect", "ATT", "LATE", "local average treatment effect", "endogenous regressor", "instrument validity", "工具变量", "两阶段最小二乘", "内生性", "弱工具变量", "倾向得分匹配", "平均处理效应", "处理效应", "局部平均处理效应"

Search, summarize, and synthesize economics literature. find research gaps, position your contribution.

Econometrics skill for machine learning methods in causal inference. Activates when the user asks about: "causal forest", "generalized random forest", "GRF", "double machine learning", "DML", "debiased machine learning", "LASSO for variable selection", "post-LASSO", "heterogeneous treatment effects", "CATE", "conditional average treatment effect", "BLP analysis", "CLAN analysis", "causal tree", "honest estimation", "因果森林", "双重机器学习", "异质性处理效应", "条件平均处理效应", "LASSO变量选择", "机器学习因果推断", "去偏机器学习"

Econometrics skill for OLS regression and linear models. Activates when the user asks about: "run OLS", "linear regression", "ordinary least squares", "interpret regression results", "heteroskedasticity", "multicollinearity", "regression assumptions", "robust standard errors", "GLS", "WLS", "fit a regression model", "check regression diagnostics", "OLS假设", "最小二乘法", "线性回归", "回归系数", "残差检验", "异方差", "多重共线性", "普通最小二乘", "稳健标准误", "回归诊断"

Econometrics skill for panel data models. Activates when the user asks about: "panel data", "fixed effects", "random effects", "Hausman test", "within estimator", "between estimator", "two-way fixed effects", "clustered standard errors panel", "FE model", "RE model", "pooled OLS", "unobserved heterogeneity", "panel regression", "first difference estimator", "entity fixed effects", "time fixed effects", "面板数据", "固定效应", "随机效应", "豪斯曼检验", "双向固定效应", "面板回归", "个体效应", "时间效应", "一阶差分"

Draft economics papers with proper structure and academic style

Econometrics skill for Regression Discontinuity Design (RDD). Activates when the user asks about: "regression discontinuity", "RDD", "RD design", "sharp RDD", "fuzzy RDD", "running variable", "forcing variable", "cutoff", "bandwidth selection", "local linear regression", "McCrary test", "density test", "RDROBUST", "continuity assumption", "donut hole RDD", "geographic RDD", "断点回归", "回归不连续", "运行变量", "截断值", "带宽选择", "精确断点", "模糊断点", "密度检验", "局部线性回归"

Comprehensive results analysis for empirical research: generate publication-quality descriptive statistics and balance tables, interpret regression coefficients with economic magnitude and effect sizes, assess identification assumption diagnostics, and produce structured results memos. Use when asked to create summary statistics, Table 1, balance tests, interpret results, assess economic significance, or write results narratives.

Scrape web pages using Scrapling with anti-bot bypass (like Cloudflare Turnstile), stealth headless browsing, spiders framework, adaptive scraping, and JavaScript rendering. Use when asked to scrape, crawl, or extract data from websites; web_fetch fails; the site has anti-bot protections; write Python code to scrape/crawl; or write spiders.

Comprehensive Stata reference for writing correct .do files. Covers syntax, options, gotchas, and idiomatic patterns. Use this skill whenever the user asks you to write, debug, or explain Stata code. Generates ready-to-run .do files for the user to execute manually.

Econometrics skill for Synthetic Control Method (SCM). Activates when the user asks about "synthetic control", "SCM", "placebo test", "synthetic DID", "合成控制", "安慰剂检验", "合成反事实", "合成DID".

Called by /plot to upgrade regression and summary tables to top-journal standards.

1 hook across 1 event